Historic Losses on Wall Street Despite
Late Rally
Friday, October 10, 2008
Wall Street staged a huge late-day
rally to close well off session lows Friday but the Dow
still suffered its worst weekly meltdown in its 112-year
history.
The Dow has now plummeted nearly 2400
points over the past eight trading days in a
panic-induced collapse fueled by the nation's most
serious credit crisis since the Great Depression.
Today's Market
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost
128.00 points, or 1.49%, to 8451.19, the broader S&P 500
dropped 10.70 points, or 1.18%, to 899.22 and the Nasdaq
Composite rose 4.39 points, or 0.27%, to 1649.51. The
consumer-friendly FOX 50 fell 8.19 points, or 1.20%, to
676.97.
Friday's rollercoaster ride came on a
day that saw the Dow swing by more than 1,000 points
between its high and low -- an all-time record for the
index. At one point, the blue-chip index picked up more
than 800 points in just 30 minutes. Friday also saw very
heavy volume of almost 3 billion shares on the New York
Stock Exchange.
“This was absolutely uncharted waters. This was
clearly something that the bulk of people had never seen
before," said Frank Davis, director of sales and trading
at LEK Securities. “I think a line in the sand has been
drawn. I would expect better thing next week as far as
going down. Whether we go up, that’s another story."
The incredible action in the equities markets
overshadowed a $9 plunge in crude oil prices, which fell
to their lowest levels in a year and on global recession
fears.
The Nasdaq Composite fared much better than the
broader markets, ending the day in the green for the
first time in more than a week. Still, the index has
seen nearly 40% of its value erased year-to-date.
Friday's late-day rally gives some hope to those on
Wall Street betting the credit crisis-caused wave of
selling could soon be over.
“Eventually it turns and the panic ends. The stock
market is bipolar. Right now it’s fear driven, not greed
driven,” Dan Shaffer, CEO of Shaffer Asset Management,
told FOX Business.
That panic did not disappear on Friday as the VIX, a
gauge of market fear, soared to its highest level in
history. Those fears sent the markets to five-year lows
and pushed the Dow below the 8000 level for the first
time since April 2003.
“People really need to take a deep breathe. People
are scared. We’ve gone from irrational exuberance to
irrational fear," NYSE trader Ted Weisberg of Seaport
Securities told FOX Business.
The carnage left in the path of the credit crisis is
stunning. The Dow lost more than 18% of its value this
week, suffering its worst percentage drop in its
112-year history. The blue-chip index is now off by 36%
in 2008.
Energy giants Chevron (CVX:
57.83,
-6.17, -9.64%) and ExxonMobil (XOM:
62.36,
-5.64, -8.29%) continued their selloffs on
Friday, leading the way down on the Dow on the plunging
oil prices. Alcoa (AA:
11.25,
-1.21, -9.71%) and Boeing (BA:
41.80,
-2.61, -5.87%) also suffered steep declines.
However, the index's financial giants saw huge
percentage gains: Bank of America (BAC:
20.87,
+1.24, +6.31%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM:
41.64,
+4.96, +13.52%), Citigroup (C:
14.11,
+1.18, +9.12%) and General Electric (GE:
21.50,
+2.49, +13.09%) all closed sharply higher.
Another Financial Rescue in the Works?
Friday's extremely volatile trading session came as
members of the Group of Seven met in Washington to
discuss the credit crisis that threatens to send the
global economy into a recession. The meeting raised
hopes on Wall Street that the financial leaders would
unveil a new financial rescue.
A day after reports swirled about the government
injecting capital directly into banks in exchange for
equity stakes, The Wall Street Journal
reported that the government is considering even more
extensive emergency action.
Great Britain is expected to push officials at the
emergency meeting to consider a plan similar to its move
to guarantee $432 billion in bank debt, the newspaper
reported. However, a G7 official told Reuters a
coordinated effort based on the U.K. model is unlikely.
A Treasury Department spokesperson denied to reports
that it is considering a move to insure all U.S. bank
deposits. The Journal reported the government was
considering such a move to prevent further runs on the
bank like the ones that took down Wachovia (WB:
5.15,
+1.55, +43.05%) and Washington Mutual (WM:
0.16,
+0.00, +0.00%).
Global Freefall
Stock markets around the world were in freefall-mode
on Friday amid the worsening credit crisis.
The losses were headlined by Japan's Nikkei 225
index, which plummeted 881.06 points, or 9.6%, to
8276.43. The Nikkei suffered its worst one-week
percentage loss since the crash of October 1987.
Europe continues to feel the pain, with London's FTSE
100 also posting its worst week since October 1987 and
falling below the 4000 level for the first time since
2003. The index closed down 381.74 points, or 8.85%, to
3932.06.
Financials Still at the Forefront
Much of the attention on Wall Street remains on
Morgan Stanley (MS:
9.68,
-2.77, -22.24%), whose stock plunged as much as
40% to the lowest levels of the credit crisis on Friday.
Rumors surrounding Morgan's $9 billion investment from
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial have slammed the stock in
recent days. However, Mitsubishi is not reneging on the
deal and plans to close the transaction on Tuesday,
sources told the Journal on Friday.
Influential financial analyst Dick Bove of Ladenburg
Thalmann cut his profit outlook and price target on
Morgan overnight.
“The stock market has put Morgan Stanley on death
watch," Bove told FOX Business. "Clearly, the market has
made the decision that Morgan can’t come through this.
That of course, is what destroyed Lehman."
Meanwhile, the financial sector continues to see its
landscape change at warped speed. Late Thursday
Citigroup (C:
14.11,
+1.18, +9.12%) abandoned its bid to acquire
Wachovia (WB:
5.15,
+1.55, +43.05%), leaving Wells Fargo (WFC:
28.31,
+1.06, +3.88%) to proceed with its takeover of
the bank.
Shares of Wachovia soared 30% on the news. Wells
Fargo's deal doesn't include any government assistance
and the combined company will have $1.42 trillion in
assets.
Crude Falls Off a Cliff
Evidence of global recession fears were most obvious
in the price of crude oil, which plunged below $80 a
barrel to its lowest level of the year. Crude prices
settled near session lows at $77.70 a barrel, down $8.89
on the day. The commodity plunged nearly as much as
equities this week, ending down 17%.
Oil has been on an incredible rollercoaster ride in
2008, soaring to $147 a barrel in July before collapsing
and turning negative on the year. Recession fears have
forced the energy market to price in significantly lower
global demand.
The greenback also put serious pressure on dollar-traded
commodities like crude. The dollar soared to a 16-month
high against the euro on Friday on continued fears about
Europe's own credit crisis.
Corporate Movers
General Electric (GE:
21.50,
+2.49, +13.09%) posted adjusted-earnings of 45
cents per share on $47.23 billion in revenue in the
third quarter, matching newly revised analyst estimates.
GE also said it plans to keep its dividend through 2009.
GE's financial arm, GE Capital, saw its revenue increase
2% to $18.4 billion. CEO Jeff Immelt acknowledged that
"GE Capital is not immune from the current environment."
General Motors (GM:
4.89,
+0.13, +2.73%) told Reuters it is not considering
bankruptcy protection despite its plunging stock and
"unprecedented challenges" related to the financial
markets and the weakened economy. They are, however,
considering announcing production cuts and plant
closures as early as next week, the Associated Press
reported.
Goldman Sachs (GS:
88.80,
-12.55, -12.38%) plunged to its worst level of
the credit crisis after Moody’s warned it may need to
its credit ratings, a move that would increase borrowing
costs for Goldman. Moody’s cited an expectation of
reduced revenue and profit due to the credit crisis and
Goldman’s transformation into a bank holding company.
Macy’s (M:
9.92,
-1.54, -13.43%) saw its shares dive to 52-week
lows after saying it sees adjusted-earnings in the range
of $1.30 to $1.50, well shy of the $1.75 analysts have
forecasted. Macy’s said its same-store sales have
declined by 5.8% so far in its third quarter. If weaker
sales trends continue, Macy’s said same-store sales in
the fall season could be down by 3% to 6%.
Data Dump
The government said the U.S. trade gap fell less than
expected in August to $59.1 billion. Economists had
forecasted the gap would fall from July's $61.31 billion
to $58.5 billion, according to Dow Jones.
A 2% decline in exports to $164.72 billion was offset
by an even greater decrease in oil imports due to lower
demand and plunging crude prices.
One year ago today....
On Oct. 9, 2007, Wall Street soared to its
all-time high, closing at 14,164.53. But in one year,
the bottom has fallen out — driven by tightening credit,
collapsing housing values, bad mortgages here and abroad
and a decline in confidence.
*9/29/08: down 777.68 points, or -6.98%, to close at
10365.45. - Biggest closing point drop for the DJIA
History
*10/9/2008 down -678.91 -7.33% - 3rd biggest point
drop of alltime; biggest percentage drop since Oct. 1987
*The DJIA, down 678.91 points, or -7.33%, to close at
8579.19 lowest for the year 2008
*It has dropped 5585.34 points, or -39.43%, from its
record close of 14164.53, hit on October 9, 2007
*It has dropped -34.30% from its 2008 close high of
13058.20, hit on May 2.
Source: The Dow Jones Indexes/STOXX Public Relations
Team
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